When the schedule came out, this Week 14 matchup was considered a meeting between two
Super Bowl contenders. Instead, both the Bengals and Cowboys are one loss away from
packing it in for the season. As playoff aspirations dwindle, we should still be in for a
high-scoring shootout in Dallas.
Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals have averaged 35 points in the last four games but are 1-3 in that stretch. Still,
their playoff hopes remain alive, barely. Cincy needs to win out and hope the Broncos fall apart
down the stretch. It’s a must win game and scoring points shouldn’t be an issue, it’ll come down
to how the defense plays. The Bengals have allowed 113 points in the last three games, all
losses.
Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys have put up 61 points in the last two games, which they’ve won. But the offense
ranks 29th in the NFL in EPA per play and 27th in success rate. Cooper Rush is ranked 42nd
(last) EPA+CPOE composite this season and 38th in adjusted EPA per play. While they have
won two straight, Dallas isn’t very good on either side of the ball and the defense will have
trouble slowing down the high-powered Bengals offense.
Best Bet: OVER 49.5
These two teams ranked in the bottom three overall for points allowed. The Bengals have been
scoring at will, but unfortunately, can’t stop anyone on defense. The Cowboys have looked
better in the last two wins and this could be a game that goes back and forth for the offense.
Give me the over as both teams look to showcase for 2025.
Player Prop Best Bets
Ja’Marr Chase: OVER 77.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Ja’Marr Chase leads the NFL with 1,142 receiving yards while Joe Burrow is No. 1 with 3,337
passing yards. This is arguably the best tandem in the NFL and should find some opportunities
for deep shots against this passing defense.
Micah Parsons: OVER 0.5 Sacks (-155)
Since returning from an injury, Micah Parsons has recorded 5.5 sacks in 4 games and 3.5 sacks
during the Cowboys two-game winning streak. In primetime, look for the Cowboys edge rusher
to do his thing against Burrow, who has been sacked in all but one game this season. Burrow
has been taken down at least three times in five of the last seven games.
Game Betting Odds
Bengals -5.5 (-110)
Cowboys +5.5 (-110)
Total: 49.5
Moneyline, Bengals -238, Cowboys +195
Injury Reports
Bengals Injury Report
Logan Wilson, LB – Questionable
Sheldon Rankins, DT – Questionable
Charlie Jones, WR – Questionable
DJ Turner II, CB – IR
Cowboys Injury Report
Zack Martin, G – Questionable
Marshawn Kneeland, DE – Questionable
Jake Ferguson, TE – Questionable
Trevon Diggs, CB – Questionable
Recent Betting Trends
Bengals have hit OVER in last five games
Cowboys are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in last five vs Dallas
Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games
Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games
The UNDER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between these teams
