College Football Playoff: SMU-Penn State Odds, Predictions, Player Props

by Roland R. in NCAAF on Dec 17, 2024 9:15pm

The Mustangs and Nittany Lions square off with the winner moving onto the quarterfinals to take on No. 3 Boise State. These teams haven’t met in a high-stakes game since the 1948 Cotton Bowl, a game that ended in a 13-13 tie. Both sides lost in the conference championship game, Penn State falling to Oregon while SMU was upset by Clemson.

SMU Mustangs

SMU enters the bowl game with a solid 9-3 record and an offense that can put up points. The Mustangs are led by a dynamic offense, but they’ve faced some growing pains in terms of consistency. SMU’s only losses this season came against tough competition from the AAC and a tough non-conference schedule, including a close loss to Oklahoma. Head coach Rhett Lashlee has the Mustangs playing a high-tempo style, and they’ll look to exploit any weaknesses in the Penn State defense.

Key Players

Preston Stone (QB):

The Mustangs’ quarterback has been an efficient leader of the offense this season. If he can control the tempo and avoid turnovers, SMU could pose problems for Penn State.

Tyler Lavine (RB):

A solid runner who has the potential to wear down defenses. SMU will need a strong performance from Lavine to balance out their offense.

Jha’Quan Jackson (WR):

A big-play receiver capable of stretching the field. Jackson could be key to unlocking the Nittany Lions’ defense.

Penn State Nittany Lions

Penn State has had another strong season under James Franklin, with only two losses—both of them to top-tier Big Ten competition in Michigan and Ohio State. The Nittany Lions have one of the most well-rounded teams in the nation, featuring a strong defense and a dynamic offense. Allar has grown into a leader, and Penn State is hoping to showcase its elite talent against a non-conference opponent in SMU.

Key Players

Drew Allar (QB):

The talented sophomore has shown growth throughout the 2024 season. If he’s on point, he can lead Penn State’s offense to big plays.

Nick Singleton (RB):

A workhorse back capable of taking over a game. Singleton’s ability to break tackles and change the pace of the game could be a key factor.

Kalen King (CB):

One of the best cornerbacks in the country. His ability to shut down opposing receivers will be crucial in this matchup.

Prediction

While SMU has a potent offense and some key playmakers, Penn State’s defense and overall talent level should prove to be too much. Expect a fast-paced game early, with SMU doing its best to challenge the Nittany Lions. However, Penn State’s defensive depth and Drew Allar’s ability to lead the offense will ultimately help the Nittany Lions pull away in the second half. Penn State 34, SMU 21

Player Prop Plays

Tyler Warren: Anytime TD (-150)

Tyler Warren had 10 touchdowns this season. What stood out was he scored six as a receiver and four as a rusher. He’s listed as a tight end and should get the ball more often, and when he’s on the field, he’s always a threat to score.

Brashard Smith: Over 79.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Brashard Smith is a huge part of the SMU offense and has had seven, 100-yard rushing games including against Clemson in the conference championship game. Establishing the run will be part of the strategy and in a playoff game, he’ll get an abundance of touches.