- Monday saw the major US sport betting favorites go 20-1.
- In the MLB favorites went 12-1 SU on Monday.
- They followed that up with a 11-3 day in MLB on Tuesday.
Yesterday, we told you about a Monday to remember for betting favorites. That was the day that favorites in the major US betting sports went 20-1 for +18.25 units of profit.
That’s nothing compared to the ridiculous run that moneyline favorites are on in Major League Baseball. MLB favorites went 12-2 on Sunday, 12-1 on Monday and 11-3 on Tuesday for a 35-6 run. That works out to +9.65 units of profit on Sunday, +10.25 units of profit on Monday and +5.65 units of profit on Tuesday. The Tuesday profits were undermined by the Los Angeles Angels losing to the San Francisco Giants as a -250 and therein lies the danger with moneyline favorites in baseball, particularly high priced ones.
Still, a run of 35-6 for +25.55 units of profit is pretty impressive. If only baseball betting were that easy. Spoiler alert–it isn’t. I’ve been involved with sports betting a long time and I’ve seen more novice bettors go broke by betting big moneyline favorites than any other way. A number of years ago, there was a novice baseball bettor whom I was acquainted with and he started the way many novice bettors do–by laying big prices with top teams and elite starters. In his case he couldn’t lose for much of his first season as a full time MLB bettor. He ate as much chalk as he could find and managed to win just about every time out. He would lay -1.5 run lines with impunity and completely dismiss warnings from myself and my more experienced associates that he was inevitably going to run out of luck. For one entire MLB season, however, he didn’t.
He came back the next year full of piss and vinegar and attempted to implement the same strategy. He didn’t make it to the end of May before he lost his entire bankroll. He was committed to his handicapping ‘methodology’ and didn’t even think of changing his ‘lay all of the big moneylines’ approach and would eventually ride it into the ground. I haven’t seen or heard from this guy since.
Anyway, here’s the tally of the MLB baseball betting favorites ridiculous winning run. As I’m writing this on Wednesday afternoon favorites are so far 2-3 -2.4 units on the day:
MLB BASEBALL SUNDAY
WASHINGTON NATIONALS -170 OVER BALTIMORE ORIOLES WIN
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -140 OVER NEW YORK METS WIN
CLEVELAND INDIANS -145 OVER DETROIT TIGERS WIN
ATLANTA BRAVES -125 OVER MIAMI MARLINS WIN
MINNESOTA TWINS -180 OVER KANSAS CITY ROYALS WIN
CHICAGO WHITE SOX -145 OVER ST. LOUIS CARDINALS WIN
HOUSTON ASTROS -220 OVER SEATTLE MARINERS WIN
CHICAGO CUBS -120 OVER MILWAUKEE BREWERS LOSS
COLORADO ROCKIES -130 OVER TEXAS RANGERS WIN
TAMPA BAY RAYS -115 OVER TORONTO BLUE JAYS WIN
OAKLAND ATHLETICS -125 OVER SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS WIN
LOS ANGELES DODGERS -195 OVER LOS ANGELES ANGELS WIN
SAN DIEGO PADRES -115 OVER ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS LOSS
NEW YORK YANKEESP -160 OVER BOSTON RED SOX WIN
PITTSBURGH PIRATES AT CINCINNATI REDS POSTPONED
MLB BASEBALL MONDAY
CHICAGO CUBS -175 OVER ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (GAME 1) LOSS
CHICAGO CUBS -115 OVER ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (GAME 2) WIN
NEW YORK YANKEES -155 OVER BOSTON RED SOX WIN
NEW YORK METS -155 OVER MIAMI MARLINS WIN
ATLANTA BRAVES -160 OVER WASHINGTON NATIONALS WIN
TORONTO BLUE JAYS -125 OVER BALTIMORE ORIOLES WIN
CHICAGO WHITE SOX -170 OVER DETROIT TIGERS WIN
MINNESOTA TWINS -175 OVER KANSAS CITY ROYALS WIN
SAN DIEGO PADRES -140 OVER TEXAS RANGERS WIN
HOUSTON ASTROS -165 OVER COLORADO ROCKIES WIN
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS -115 OVER OAKLAND ATHLETICS WIN
LOS ANGELES ANGELS -175 OVER SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS WIN
LOS ANGELES DODGERS -360 OVER SEATTLE MARINERS WIN
MLB BASEBALL TUESDAY
HOUSTON ASTROS -190 OVER COLORADO ROCKIES WIN
SAN DIEGO PADRES -120 OVER TEXAS RANGERS WIN
LOS ANGELES ANGELS -250 OVER SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS LOSS
OAKLAND ATHLETICS -155 OVRE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS LOSS
TAMPA BAY RAYS -125 OVER NEW YORK YANKEES WIN
CLEVELAND INDIANS -190 OVER PITTSBURGH PIRATES WIN
NEW YORK METS -150 OVER MIAMI MARLINS WIN
ATLANTA BRAVES -130 OVER WASHINGTON NATIONALS LOSS
LOS ANGELES DODGERS -270 OVER SEATTLE MARINERS WIN
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -130 OVER BOSTON RED SOX WIN
TORONTO BLUE JAYS -125 OVER BALTIMORE ORIOLES WIN
MINNESOTA TWINS -150 OVER MILWAUKEE BREWERS WIN
CHICAGO WHITE SOX -170 OVER DETROIT TIGERS WIN
CHICAGO CUBS -185 OVER ST. LOUIS CARDINALS WIN
CINCINNATI REDS -145 OVER KANSAS CITY ROYALS POSTPONED