- Post time favorite Tiz the Law won Saturday’s 152nd running of the Belmont Stakes.
- Tiz the Law is the first New York bred horse to win the Belmont since Forrester in 1882.
- Tiz the Law is now the Kentucky Derby futures betting favorite.
Following a dominant performance in last Saturday’s Belmont Stakes Tiz the Law is being pointed to the Kentucky Derby with a likely stop at Saratoga for the Travers Stakes along the way. His trainer, Barclay Tagg, says that if his horse runs well in the Travers that he’ll be very confident heading into the Kentucky Derby. So too, apparently, is the horse betting marketplace–they’ve bet Tiz the Law strongly since he opened as the favorite in Kentucky Derby futures markets.
Tiz the Law was installed as a +275 choice to win the September 5 Kentucky Derby and was quickly bet down from there. The current best price on the Belmont Stakes winner can be found at BetOnline.ag where he’s +170. At most stores, he’s significantly lower. At a couple of books he’s actually been bet down to ‘minus money’ such as Bet365 where he’s now -125 to take the ‘Run for the Roses’. That would translate to 4/5 in fractional odds which was his postime price at the Belmont.
Second choice Honor AP has also seen some action come his way. He opened as a +560 choice in Kentucky Derby futures betting markets but is now available at prices as low as +400. He’s a reasonable +450 at BetOnline.ag but that could change quickly given his apparent status as the ‘hot horse’ of the moment. The money bet on Tiz the Law and Honor AP has been to the detriment of Authentic who is now the third choice on the betting board. He was the #2 choice at +540 immediately after the Belmont but has seen his odds lengthen since then. He’s +750 at Bet365 and priced at +1000 or higher at most other European sportsbooks. As with the previous horses, the best price can be found at BetOnline.ag where he’s +1250.
At BetOnline.ag, Authentic has company as the #3 betting choice for the Kentucky Derby. Bob Baffert’s cold Cezanne broke his maiden on June 6 at Santa Anita and despite being the epitome of ‘lightly raced’ he’s getting a lot of love from bettors. Cezanne worked today at Santa Anita–his first action since his debut win–and looked sharp. Cezanne isn’t exactly a surprise–he’s a son of Curlin and his owners did pay $3.6 million for him at last year’s Fasig-Tipton Florida Select 2-Year-Olds in Training sale. It’s unclear what Baffert has in store for him next but everyone in racing thinks he’ll be pointed to the Kentucky Derby. The jury is still out on Cezanne–many railbirds think he’s just hype while others suggest he’s the real deal.
Also taking money is Todd Pletcher’s Dr. Post who finished second in the Belmont. Pletcher is trying to decide whether to point Dr. Post to the Travers at Saratoga in August or the Haskell at Monmouth in July but the expectation is that he’ll be heading to Churchill Downs for the Kentucky Derby after that. Dr. Post was +1800 in the Kentucky Derby futures odds immediately after the Belmont but has been bet down from there. He’s at +1000 at most of the European sportsbooks with a +1400 at Bet365. Best price is at BetOnline.ag where he’s at +1600.
